Week 13 NFL Picks

Alright Week 13 is here. Man this season is going fast. In case you missed last weeks picks you can find out how I did by going here.

Philly @ Seattle

• In a short week Philly has to travel cross country and I just don't like what pressure and lack of prep that gives a Philly team that is going to be missing their starting QB Vick and Starting WR Macklin.
• On top of those injuries your starting RB McCoy is banged up and Questionable as is your CB Asomugha.
• Eagles still have a decent QB in Young and plenty of talent
• Seattle just lost on of their WR threats in Rice.
• Eagles are still more talented and will win

Tennessee @ Buffalo

• Buffalo is getting healthy and comes back home after a 3 game road trip which ended with them almost taking down the Jets
• Titans are looking good and CJ2K is running better racking up 190 rushing yds last week
• Buffalo if they can stop CJ2K may take this one at home

KC @ Chicago

• Both teams playing backup QB's and KC may be going with a QB that was once a Bear
• Hanie for the Bears looks like the better backup over either of the Cheifs backups.
• Chicago at home and needing this game more in order to keep them with Detroit should win this game

Atlanta @ Houston

• If Houston was healthy and coming into this game at home against the Falcons I would pick them hands down.
• Fact is they aren't healthy and going against the Falcons with a third string QB
• Falcons go to Houston and wins

Oakland @ Miami

• Oakland is on a 3 game win streak in which they beat the Chargers, Vikings and Bears
• Miami before they lost a close one on Turkey day to the Cowboys were on a 3 game win streak and before that almost beat the Giants in NY.
• Going with Miami who looks pretty decent right now with a young QB Matt Moore.

Denver @ Minnesota

• Yes Tebow is getting it done with his legs but he is also throwing for more yards each week and the most important thing is he isn't turning the ball over with INT's. The counter argument however is that if you're averaging 8 passes a game you better not throw picks.
• Minnesota is giving up yards in the air but can Tebow pick them apart? I think the Vikings may be able to contain them on the ground.
• Denver's D has kept them in the game and will do the same this week. Denver wins.

Indy @ NE

• Patriots

Cincy @ Pitt

• You know who I want to win, but can Cincy go into Pitt and win?
• I think Pitt will pull out a close win but I'm going to pick Cincy with an upset

Carolina @ TB

• Carolina goes into Tamp and steals one from the Bucs

NYJ @ Washington

• OK ready for this craziness.
• Washington shuts down the Jet's and causes the Jets to panic even more.
• Why not? This season has been crazy

Baltimore @ The Mistake By The Lake (Cleveland)

• Ed reed has more INT's (10), INT return yd (356), INT-TDs (3) and Pass Deflections (18) against the Browns than any other team in NFL
• This game makes me nervous only because we're playing a team with a losing record on the road which this season equaled a loss for us.
• I think however we have corrected our offesive problems and we get out of Cleveland with a win

Dallas @ Arizona

• Dallas going for 5 game win streak and should get it this week even if Kolb can play.

GB @ NYG

• I was hoping the Giants could pull the upset this week, but you have to go with the undefeated team until they slip.

StL @ SF

• StL going into SF is going to have their hands full. SF is a good team and will win easily

Detroit @ NO

• Detroit is slipping and the mess with Suh isn't going to help.
• I read a weird story that the Saints have lost all 11 of their coin flips this year and that's all they will lose this week. Saints win.

SD @ Jacksonville

• That leaves us with SD and Jacksonville. Man Monday night games this season have been boring. It doesn't get any better this week as a 4-7 Chargers play the 3-8 Jags
• Jags fired their head coach and sold the team all in one day and the next day fired WR coach and shuffled others around.
• SD hasn't been good this year and their coaching staff may suffer the same fate as the Jags.
• SD wins this snoozer.

Week 12 NFL Pick Results

Not too bad this week ending with a 11-5 record. Bringing my season record to 92-52 63.88%

Here's were I went wrong and right this past week.

GB over Detroit     CORRECT
Miami over Dallas     WRONG  Should have gone for the 2pt conv in the 3rd qtr
Baltimore over SF     CORRECT
NYJ over Buffalo     CORRECT
Cincy over Cleveland     CORRECT
Atlanta over Minn     CORRECT
Houston over Jacksonville     CORRECT
StL over Arizona     WRONG
Tampa over Tenn     WRONG
Carolina over Indy     CORRECT
Seattle over Washington      WRONG
Oakland over Chicago     CORRECT
Philly over NE     WRONG
Denver over SD     CORRECT
Pitt over KC     CORRECT
NO over NYG     CORRECT

Week 12 NFL Picks

Alright so here we go.  If you want to see what happened with my picks last week click here.  Week 12 is here and Turkey Day is filled with some GREAT football.  3 great matchups to sit back and enjoy.  Happy Thanksgiving to all of you!!

GB @ Detroit

• Packers "O" is dangerous.  Rodgers is arguably the best in the NFL today.
• Detroit has been pretty good at home, but after last week even though they won can they hang with GB?
• Packers are bound to lose a game this season but is this the week? They played a close game last week, and on the road this season they have played close games.
• I know it's going to be loud and Detroit typically plays tough on Turkey Day but how do you pick against an undefeated team. Have to pick em GB to win even though I'm leaning more toward Detroit with an upset. I think Rodgers should take advantage of an iffy defensive backfield of the Lions.

Miami @ Dallas

• Both teams on a 3 game win streak
• Before this 3 game streak Miami lost a close game in NY against the Giants.
• Dallas just won a close game in OT against a backsliding Redskins team who doesn't know who to start at QB. Should we go with backup A or backup B? They should have lost this game and if Washington had a decent QB and Kicker they would have.
• Miami QB Moore has played great these past 3 games
• Picking Miami to go into Dallas and win a close game

SF @ Baltimore

• The thing that scares me about this game is what Offensive game plan is Cam going to go with? Are we going to throw it every down, or are we going to stick with what works and play a balanced game? I think Harbs puts his foot down and has Cam stick to what they did last week.
• Comparing the 2 defenses. I like what SF has on defense. They have a really good defensive front including LB's. So I will give a push there, but I think Baltimore has a better defensive backfield.
• SF 30th in league in 3rd down conversion which doesn't bode well for them.
• Short week for both teams but SF has to come across country. I know they have traveled 4 times to the East Coast and won all 4, BUT not on a short week.
• Going with the more veteran team in the Ravens.

Buffalo @ NYJ

• This is tough because Buffalo was playing great football, but the past 2 weeks were blown apart. They were outscored 79-15 in two games.
• Jets haven't been that impressive themselves and lost to a Tebow led Broncos offense.
• Don't like Sanchez but he gets it done this game

Cleveland @ Cincy

• Cleveland is improving since years past but not up to the level of Cincy who is having a great season with young players
• Cleveland lost week 1 at home to Cincy and will lose this one on the road in Cincy

Minn @ Atlanta

• Atlanta is going to be too much for the Vikings
• Vikings can run the ball but only averaging 180 in the air. Falcons have been good at run defense if they contain Peterson this game should be an easy one.

Houston @ Jacksonville

• Went back and forth with this game. Any other time earlier in the season I would have flat out picked the Texans because they are way better than the Jags. However Houston is now missing their starting QB in Schaub.
• I don't trust Leinart because he's had his chance to shine out in the Arizona heat and flopped miserably. I do think the talent around him is enough, and their running game will allow him to do the bare minimum to win this game.

Arizona @ StL

• Neither of these teams impress me at all. Kolb hasn't worked out this year for Arizona and it looks like they are going with Skelton again at QB.
• Going to give the nod to StL at home

Tampa @ Tennessee

• Tampa going into Tenn in my opinion should win this one.
• Blount is back and looks good in the back field for TB
• "Fat Albert" Haynesworth says he's playing and if anything gives TB size on the D line. Alright that's probably all he will give them.
• Tenn Qb situation still in the air but looks like Hasselbeck may be back this week.

Carolina @ Indy

• Let's see Carolinas Offense is better, Carolina's Defense is playing better than Indy. Heck Carolina is playing better than Indy.
• Indy will be yet another game closer in the "Suck for Luck Sweepstakes" this week.  It's as if they aren't even planning for any games this season and drawing up plans for next year with Andrew Luck.

Washington @ Seattle

• I like what Seattle has with Lynch running the ball. He's like the Seahawks version of Ray Rice. Very potent weapon.
• Defense wise I think they are comparable to each other. Seahawks have a slightly better run defense than the Skins.
• I think Seattle adds to the Skins woes and hands them a loss and long flight back to DC

Chicago @ Oakland

• Man, where to go with this game? Go back to what I said about Houston in regards to their Qb situation.  The same may apply here.  Chicago is out their starting QB for the season and I don't have faith in the backup, at least this week.
• Oakland is looking good this season and even though they are missing their biggest Offensive weapon in RB McFadden, Bush has filled in big time.
• Every week Carson is getting more comfortable and I think with Bush running the ball and Carson tossing it around to their WR corp Oakland should take this one at home.

NE @ Philly

• Well I can tell you who I want to win, and that's Philly. Any time an NFC team plays an AFC that's not the Ravens I'm going NFC all the way.
• Can Philly pull off this feat? Yeah I think so.  Philly is tied at 11th in the league against the pass with the Bengals.  While the Patriots are worst the the LEAGUE against the pass. That's right 32nd.
• IF Philly can keep the ball out of Brady's hand's they can do it. NE doesn't have a powerful running game at all and for a majority of the first half last week a Tyler Palko led Chiefs led 3-0 up until 3:18 left in the half.
• I think McCoy can move the ball against NE and with another week under his belt Vince Young may be able to pass on them.
• Can you tell I'm trying to talk myself into this upset? Well I'm doing it.  Eagles win!!

Denver @ SD

• Let me start by saying I don't dislike Tebow as a person. I actually admire his faith and his mission work. Now as a QB I don't think he is ready to be a starting QB. Yes he makes plays with his feet but he's way too inaccurate in his passing. Now I've tempted him to prove me wrong and picked against him for the past 2 to 3 weeks and he's crushed my picks.
• Inaccurate Tebow or WTH is going on Rivers? Who's going to be the QB to lead his team to a W this week?
• Denver is averaging more yards on the ground and that's thanks to a running Tebow.
• SD is more efficient on 3rd down conversion to the tune of 48.9%
• Why not Tebow and the Broncos win this sloppy game. What am I thinking?

Pitt @ KC

• I mean come on Steelers coming off the bye against the Chiefs.  I don't care if this game was played in Abu Dhabi the Steelers win.  Even if Ben wasn't playing and Dixon filled in, which he isn't just threw that in there since Ben has a fractured thumb.

NYG @ NO

• Saints coming off the Bye and have Sproles back
• In the dome I'm giving the nod to the Saints and the gunslinger Brees

Ravens vs Bengals After Thoughts

I am very pleased with how this game turned out and for many reason's and not just the simple fact we walked away with a "W". First of all I am very happy with the play of our LB corp with the absence of Ray. Also with the "W" as a whole up until the 4th qtr. I have to admit I am a huge Lardarius Webb fan at corner. He has been playing great defense and has become a pretty decent corner after making the switch from safety.
I was nervous going into this game because I didn't know what kind of Offensive game plan to expect from Cam.  Would we see the game plan we executed against the Steelers and Houston where we were balanced and got Rice involved running the ball? Are we going to see Flacco throw the ball 60 times like in our 3 loses?  I was pleased to see the more balanced game plan. I hope we stick to this game plan. Hopefully Cam noticed we CAN throw down field and are very effective throwing deep off the I formation play action. Not only effective but the play action had Boldin wide open over the middle and kept pressure off Joe. Torrey Smith showed off his ridiculous speed and racked up 165yds. I'm really excited to see what he develops into. I was also excited to see Lee Evans get back on the field and even though he was only targeted once he was a threat they had to take seriously.
I am concerned however with our defense and their inability to end drives and get off the field in the 4th qtr. They had this problem last week against Seattle and Cincy almost tied this game late. Well at least was given a real shot but we were able to stall a late drive and get pressure on the rookie QB. Speaking of which Dalton is looking good in his rookie season.
All in all a big win against a tough division opponent and puts us back where we belong over the much despised Steelers.

Week 11 NFL Pick Results

Looking to improve after going 7-9 this week I go 9-5 improving my season standing up to 81-47 63.28%

This season has been crazy.  The Ravens as well as others have been losing games that on paper you think they should win.  Now the fun begins!!  Bye weeks are over and every week we have a full slate of games.

Jets over Broncos     WRONG
Raiders over Vikings     CORRECT
Ravens over Bengals     CORRECT
Lions over Panthers     CORRECT
Packers over Bucs     CORRECT
Cowboys over Redskins     CORRECT
Jags over Browns     WRONG
Falcons over Titans     CORRECT
Bills over Dolphins     WRONG
49ers over Cardinals     CORRECT
Rams over Seahawks     WRONG
Bears over Chargers     CORRECT
Giants over Eagles     WRONG
Patriots over Cheifs     CORRECT

Week 11 NFL Picks

Alright so last week I roughed out a 7-9 record and sit at 72-42 on the season so far.  Time to boost my season record.
So I'm slammed for time this week so I'm just going to put my picks out there without any breakdown.  Too busy working on the house and painting before the Holidays hit.

Let's get to it.

Jets over Broncos
Raiders over Vikings
Ravens over Bengals
Lions over Panthers
Packers over Bucs
Cowboys over Redskins
Jags over Browns
Falcons over Titans
Bills over Dolphins
49ers over Cardinals
Rams over Seahawks
Bears over Chargers
Giants over Eagles
Patriots over Cheifs

There you have it.  Alright my break is over back to painting.

Week 10 Pick Results

Alright this season is crazy, and this weeks picks were brutal.  This week I went 7-9 bringing down my season record to 72-42 63.15%

Nothing else to say.  Just look at what was my worst week.  This won't happen again.  Then again I thought the same about the Ravens losing to a team they should beat.

SD over Oakland     WRONG    Now you choose to show up Carson
NO over Atlanta     CORRECT
Carolina over Tennessee     WRONG
Pitt over Cincy     CORRECT
Cleveland over StL     WRONG
Buffalo over Dallas     WRONG
Jacksonville over Indy     CORRECT
KC over Denver     WRONG     Shame on you KC for losing to a team who's QB completes 2 passes
Miami over Washington     CORRECT
Philly over Arizona     WRONG
Houston over TB     CORRECT
Baltimore over Seattle     WRONG   What is wrong with you!!! You're better than that!
Chicago over Detroit      CORRECT
NYG over SF     WRONG
NYJ over NE     WRONG
GB over Minnesota     CORRECT